Match Analysis

ParmavsAS Roma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

18%
19%
63%
Parma winDrawAS Roma win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.60
0.62Avg goals scored2.50
2.07Avg goals conceded1.10
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Parma xG

Expected goals

2.3

AS Roma xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

0–2

9%

0–1

8%

1–1

8%

0–3

7%

1–3

7%

Home

Parma

Parma

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

AS Roma

AS Roma

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.5 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Parma vs AS Roma?

AS Roma is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Parma's current form?

Parma have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Parma Win18%
Draw19%
AS Roma Win63%
BTTS60%
Over 2.566%