Match Analysis

ParmavsBologna

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

29%
25%
46%
Parma winDrawBologna win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
0.62Avg goals scored1.20
2.07Avg goals conceded1.25
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Parma xG

Expected goals

1.6

Bologna xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–2

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

7%

2–1

7%

Home

Parma

Parma

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Bologna

Bologna

DLWDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Parma vs Bologna?

Bologna is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Parma's current form?

Parma have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Parma Win29%
Draw25%
Bologna Win46%
BTTS56%
Over 2.553%