Match Analysis

ParmavsFiorentina

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
24%
38%
Parma winDrawFiorentina win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.80
0.62Avg goals scored1.14
2.07Avg goals conceded2.29
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Parma xG

Expected goals

1.6

Fiorentina xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

2–2

7%

Home

Parma

Parma

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

LLLDW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Parma vs Fiorentina?

This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.

What is Parma's current form?

Parma have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Parma Win38%
Draw24%
Fiorentina Win38%
BTTS64%
Over 2.562%