Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.5
Parma xG
Expected goals
0.3
Genoa xG
10%
Both Teams to Score
5%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
45%
1–0
22%
0–1
13%
1–1
7%
2–0
6%
0–2
2%
Home
Parma
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.3 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Genoa
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.1 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Parma vs Genoa?
Genoa is favored with a 25% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Parma's current form?
Parma have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Parma won 0, drew 2, and Genoa won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (45% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 10%. Over 2.5 goals: 5%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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