Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Parma xG
Expected goals
1.4
Monza xG
50%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
13%
0–1
11%
1–0
9%
1–2
9%
0–0
8%
0–2
8%
Home
Parma
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.3 / 1.2
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Monza
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.5 / 3.5
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Parma vs Monza?
Monza is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Parma's current form?
Parma have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Serie A meetings, Parma won 1, drew 1, and Monza won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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