Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Sassuolo xG
Expected goals
2.4
AC Milan xG
69%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
9%
1–1
8%
1–3
7%
0–2
6%
2–2
6%
0–1
5%
Home
Sassuolo
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 2.8
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
AC Milan
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.0 / 0.9
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sassuolo vs AC Milan?
AC Milan is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sassuolo's current form?
Sassuolo have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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