Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Sassuolo xG
Expected goals
2.5
AC Milan xG
69%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
9%
1–1
7%
1–3
7%
0–2
6%
2–2
6%
0–1
5%
Home
Sassuolo
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.8
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Away
AC Milan
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.4
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sassuolo vs Ac Milan?
AC Milan is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sassuolo's current form?
Sassuolo have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Sassuolo won 1, drew 2, and Ac Milan won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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