Match Analysis

SassuolovsFiorentina

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

44%
21%
35%
Sassuolo winDrawFiorentina win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game0.80
1.46Avg goals scored1.14
2.79Avg goals conceded2.29
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.1

Sassuolo xG

Expected goals

1.9

Fiorentina xG

75%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

1–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

2–3

5%

3–1

5%

Home

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.8

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

LLLDW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sassuolo vs Fiorentina?

Sassuolo is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sassuolo's current form?

Sassuolo have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 75%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sassuolo Win44%
Draw21%
Fiorentina Win35%
BTTS75%
Over 2.576%