Match Analysis

SassuolovsGenoa

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
23%
39%
Sassuolo winDrawGenoa win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.40
1.46Avg goals scored0.83
2.79Avg goals conceded1.42
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Sassuolo xG

Expected goals

1.7

Genoa xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.5 / 2.8

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Genoa

Genoa

DLWLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sassuolo vs Genoa?

Genoa is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sassuolo's current form?

Sassuolo have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sassuolo Win38%
Draw23%
Genoa Win39%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%