Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Sassuolo xG
Expected goals
1.2
Juventus xG
38%
Both Teams to Score
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
16%
0–0
14%
1–1
13%
1–0
11%
0–2
10%
1–2
8%
Home
Sassuolo
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Juventus
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.6
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sassuolo vs Juventus?
Juventus is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sassuolo's current form?
Sassuolo have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Sassuolo won 1, drew 1, and Juventus won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Serie A