Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Sassuolo xG
Expected goals
3
Lazio xG
72%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
8%
1–3
8%
0–2
6%
0–3
6%
1–4
6%
1–1
5%
Home
Sassuolo
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 2.8
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Lazio
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.9 / 0.9
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sassuolo vs Lazio?
Lazio is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sassuolo's current form?
Sassuolo have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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