Match Analysis

SassuolovsParma

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

52%
22%
26%
Sassuolo winDrawParma win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.80
1.35Avg goals scored0.62
2.12Avg goals conceded2.07
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Sassuolo xG

Expected goals

1.3

Parma xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

8%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

2–2

6%

Home

Sassuolo

Sassuolo

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Parma

Parma

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.6 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sassuolo vs Parma?

Sassuolo is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sassuolo's current form?

Sassuolo have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sassuolo Win52%
Draw22%
Parma Win26%
BTTS62%
Over 2.562%