Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Sassuolo xG
Expected goals
1.7
Torino xG
71%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
8%
2–1
8%
1–2
7%
2–2
7%
3–1
6%
1–0
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $246K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Sassuolo
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.8
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Away
Torino
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.9
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sassuolo vs Torino?
Torino is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sassuolo's current form?
Sassuolo have recorded 1W 0D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Sassuolo won 0, drew 1, and Torino won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Serie A