Match Analysis

TorinovsComo

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
24%
38%
Torino winDrawComo win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.91Avg goals scored1.73
1.27Avg goals conceded0.75
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Torino xG

Expected goals

1.5

Como xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Model vs Market

Polymarket · $632K volume

LIVE ODDS
Outcome
Our Model
Market
Edge
Torino
38%
44%
-6%
Draw
24%
—
—
Como
38%
56%
-18%
Trade on Polymarket →

Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.

Home

Torino

Torino

DWWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.9 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Como

Como

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Torino vs Como?

This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.

What is Torino's current form?

Torino have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Torino Win38%
Draw24%
Como Win38%
BTTS60%
Over 2.558%