Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.5
Torino xG
Expected goals
2.4
Monza xG
88%
Both Teams to Score
93%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–2
6%
2–2
5%
3–1
5%
3–3
5%
4–2
5%
2–1
4%
Home
Torino
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.9
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Monza
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.5 / 3.5
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 4 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Torino vs Monza?
Torino is favored with a 57% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Torino's current form?
Torino have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 4 Serie A meetings, Torino won 2, drew 2, and Monza won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 88%. Over 2.5 goals: 93%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 4 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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