Match Analysis

TorinovsMonza

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
20%
32%
Torino winDrawMonza win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.40
1.76Avg goals scored2.05
1.57Avg goals conceded2.11
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

Torino xG

Expected goals

1.8

Monza xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

76%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

1–1

7%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

6%

3–2

5%

Home

Torino

Torino

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.6

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Monza

Monza

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Torino vs Monza?

Torino is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Torino's current form?

Torino have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Torino Win48%
Draw20%
Monza Win32%
BTTS74%
Over 2.576%