Match Analysis

Udinese vs Ac Milan

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

26%
22%
52%
Udinese winDrawAC Milan win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game1.80
0.95Avg goals scored1.81
0.81Avg goals conceded0.87
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.8

Udinese xG

Expected goals

1.2

AC Milan xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

01

16%

00

14%

11

13%

10

11%

02

10%

12

8%

Home

Udinese

Udinese

DWLLW

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

0.9 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

AC Milan

AC Milan

WWLWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.9

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Udineseall timeAc Milan
2W
4W
11 Apr 26
AC Milan03Udinese
20 Sep 25
Udinese03AC Milan
11 Apr 25
Udinese04AC Milan
19 Oct 24
AC Milan10Udinese
20 Jan 24
Udinese23AC Milan
4 Nov 23
AC Milan01Udinese

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Udinese vs Ac Milan?

AC Milan is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Udinese's current form?

Udinese have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Udinese won 2, drew 0, and Ac Milan won 4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

Udinese Win26%
Draw22%
AC Milan Win52%
BTTS38%
Over 2.532%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi