Match Analysis

UdinesevsAC Milan

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
20%
61%
Udinese winDrawAC Milan win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game1.60
0.87Avg goals scored2.04
2.30Avg goals conceded0.89
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Udinese xG

Expected goals

2.2

AC Milan xG

59%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

0–2

9%

1–1

9%

0–1

8%

0–3

7%

1–3

7%

Home

Udinese

Udinese

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

AC Milan

AC Milan

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.9

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Udinese vs AC Milan?

AC Milan is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Udinese's current form?

Udinese have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Udinese Win19%
Draw20%
AC Milan Win61%
BTTS59%
Over 2.564%