Match Analysis

UdinesevsFiorentina

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
23%
37%
Udinese winDrawFiorentina win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game0.80
0.87Avg goals scored1.14
2.31Avg goals conceded2.29
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Udinese xG

Expected goals

1.7

Fiorentina xG

67%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

Udinese

Udinese

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.9 / 2.3

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

LLLDW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Udinese vs Fiorentina?

Udinese is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Udinese's current form?

Udinese have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Udinese Win40%
Draw23%
Fiorentina Win37%
BTTS67%
Over 2.566%