Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.4
Udinese xG
Expected goals
1.2
Lecce xG
23%
Both Teams to Score
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
24%
0–0
20%
0–2
15%
1–1
10%
1–0
8%
0–3
6%
Home
Udinese
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.9 / 0.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Lecce
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.8 / 0.4
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Udinese vs Lecce?
Lecce is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Udinese's current form?
Udinese have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Serie A meetings, Udinese won 4, drew 1, and Lecce won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (24% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 23%. Over 2.5 goals: 22%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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