Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.3
Venezia xG
Expected goals
0.3
Fiorentina xG
25%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
16%
2–0
15%
4–0
14%
1–0
9%
5–0
9%
3–1
5%
Home
Venezia
PPG
1.40
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Fiorentina
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.2 / 2.9
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Venezia vs Fiorentina?
Venezia is favored with a 82% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Venezia's current form?
Venezia have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Serie A meetings, Venezia won 1, drew 1, and Fiorentina won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 25%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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