Match Analysis

VeneziavsMonza

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
22%
47%
Venezia winDrawMonza win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.40
0.72Avg goals scored2.05
1.89Avg goals conceded2.11
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Venezia xG

Expected goals

1.9

Monza xG

68%

Both Teams to Score

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

9%

1–2

9%

2–1

7%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–3

6%

Home

Venezia

Venezia

DWLLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Monza

Monza

DWLWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 2.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Venezia vs Monza?

Monza is favored with a 47% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Venezia's current form?

Venezia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Venezia Win31%
Draw22%
Monza Win47%
BTTS68%
Over 2.568%