Match Analysis

VeneziavsNapoli

ITA Serie A · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
21%
58%
Venezia winDrawNapoli win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
0.59Avg goals scored2.11
1.91Avg goals conceded1.27
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Venezia xG

Expected goals

2

Napoli xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

8%

0–2

8%

1–3

7%

2–1

6%

Home

Venezia

Venezia

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.9

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Napoli

Napoli

DDWLL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

2.1 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Venezia vs Napoli?

Napoli is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Venezia's current form?

Venezia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 9 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Venezia Win21%
Draw21%
Napoli Win58%
BTTS60%
Over 2.562%