Match Analysis

AlbaniavsSan Marino

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

76%
14%
10%
Albania winDrawSan Marino win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.20
1.99Avg goals scored0.27
0.78Avg goals conceded3.90
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.7

Albania xG

Expected goals

0.9

San Marino xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

9%

3–0

9%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

1–1

7%

Home

Albania

Albania

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

San Marino

San Marino

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.3 / 3.9

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Albania vs San Marino?

Albania is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Albania's current form?

Albania have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Albania Win76%
Draw14%
San Marino Win10%
BTTS55%
Over 2.570%