Match Analysis

ArmeniavsCyprus

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
28%
38%
Armenia winDrawCyprus win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
0.94Avg goals scored1.29
1.24Avg goals conceded0.73
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Armenia xG

Expected goals

1.2

Cyprus xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

11%

1–0

11%

0–0

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Armenia

Armenia

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Cyprus

Cyprus

WWDLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Armenia vs Cyprus?

Cyprus is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Armenia's current form?

Armenia have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Armenia Win34%
Draw28%
Cyprus Win38%
BTTS49%
Over 2.543%