Match Analysis

AzerbaijanvsLiechtenstein

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
30%
25%
Azerbaijan winDrawLiechtenstein win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game0.20
0.67Avg goals scored0.00
0.31Avg goals conceded0.94
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Azerbaijan xG

Expected goals

0.8

Liechtenstein xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

32%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

16%

0–0

14%

1–1

13%

0–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

8%

Home

Azerbaijan

Azerbaijan

WDDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.3

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Liechtenstein

Liechtenstein

LDLLL

PPG

0.20

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?

Azerbaijan is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Azerbaijan's current form?

Azerbaijan have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Azerbaijan Win45%
Draw30%
Liechtenstein Win25%
BTTS38%
Over 2.532%