Match Analysis

BelarusvsAlbania

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
27%
34%
Belarus winDrawAlbania win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.40
1.30Avg goals scored1.98
0.46Avg goals conceded0.79
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Belarus xG

Expected goals

1.2

Albania xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

11%

0–1

10%

0–0

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Belarus

Belarus

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Albania

Albania

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Belarus vs Albania?

Belarus is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Belarus's current form?

Belarus have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Belarus Win39%
Draw27%
Albania Win34%
BTTS51%
Over 2.546%