Match Analysis

BelarusvsSan Marino

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

72%
17%
11%
Belarus winDrawSan Marino win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.20
1.30Avg goals scored0.27
0.46Avg goals conceded3.90
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.3

Belarus xG

Expected goals

0.8

San Marino xG

50%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

12%

1–0

10%

2–1

10%

3–0

9%

1–1

8%

3–1

7%

Home

Belarus

Belarus

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

San Marino

San Marino

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.3 / 3.9

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Belarus vs San Marino?

Belarus is favored with a 72% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Belarus's current form?

Belarus have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Belarus Win72%
Draw17%
San Marino Win11%
BTTS50%
Over 2.560%