Match Analysis

BelgiumvsFrance

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

33%
26%
41%
Belgium winDrawFrance win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game2.00
1.50Avg goals scored1.81
1.33Avg goals conceded0.53
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Belgium xG

Expected goals

1.4

France xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Belgium

Belgium

LWLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

France

France

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Belgium vs France?

France is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Belgium's current form?

Belgium have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Belgium Win33%
Draw26%
France Win41%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%