Match Analysis

BelgiumvsTürkiye

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

60%
21%
19%
Belgium winDrawTürkiye win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game0.60
1.50Avg goals scored0.51
1.33Avg goals conceded2.78
2–0–3Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Belgium xG

Expected goals

1

Türkiye xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

10%

1–1

10%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

3–0

7%

3–1

7%

Home

Belgium

Belgium

LWLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Away

Türkiye

Türkiye

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.8

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Belgium vs Türkiye?

Belgium is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Belgium's current form?

Belgium have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Belgium Win60%
Draw21%
Türkiye Win19%
BTTS55%
Over 2.558%