Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Belgium xG
Expected goals
1
Türkiye xG
55%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
10%
1–1
10%
2–0
10%
2–1
10%
3–0
7%
3–1
7%
Home
Belgium
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.5 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Away
Türkiye
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.5 / 2.8
Last 5
1W 0D 4L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Belgium vs Türkiye?
Belgium is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Belgium's current form?
Belgium have recorded 2W 0D 3L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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