Match Analysis

Bosnia-HerzegovinavsSweden

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
27%
34%
Bosnia-Herzegovina winDrawSweden win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
1.49Avg goals scored1.71
0.74Avg goals conceded0.73
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Bosnia-Herzegovina xG

Expected goals

1.2

Sweden xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

11%

0–1

10%

0–0

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

WDWDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.5 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Sweden

Sweden

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Bosnia-Herzegovina vs Sweden?

Bosnia-Herzegovina is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Bosnia-Herzegovina's current form?

Bosnia-Herzegovina have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Bosnia-Herzegovina Win39%
Draw27%
Sweden Win34%
BTTS51%
Over 2.546%