Bulgariavs
Iceland
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Bulgaria xG
Expected goals
1.4
Iceland xG
48%
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
1–1
13%
0–0
9%
0–2
9%
1–0
9%
1–2
9%
Home
Bulgaria
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.2
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Away
Iceland
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.7 / 0.2
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Bulgaria vs Iceland?
Iceland is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Bulgaria's current form?
Bulgaria have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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