Match Analysis

CroatiavsCzechia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

42%
23%
35%
Croatia winDrawCzechia win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game0.20
0.97Avg goals scored0.49
3.54Avg goals conceded2.53
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Croatia xG

Expected goals

1.6

Czechia xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

64%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

2–2

7%

0–1

6%

1–0

6%

Home

Croatia

Croatia

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Czechia

Czechia

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.5

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Croatia vs Czechia?

Croatia is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Croatia's current form?

Croatia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Croatia Win42%
Draw23%
Czechia Win35%
BTTS65%
Over 2.564%