Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Croatia xG
Expected goals
2.7
Spain xG
68%
Both Teams to Score
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
9%
1–3
8%
0–2
7%
0–3
6%
1–1
6%
2–2
6%
Home
Croatia
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 3.5
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Spain
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
3.0 / 1.2
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Croatia vs Spain?
Spain is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Croatia's current form?
Croatia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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