Match Analysis

CzechiavsSpain

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

19%
20%
61%
Czechia winDrawSpain win

Key Stats

0.20Points per game2.60
0.49Avg goals scored2.97
2.53Avg goals conceded1.23
0–1–4Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Czechia xG

Expected goals

2.2

Spain xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

10%

1–1

9%

0–2

8%

0–1

7%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Czechia

Czechia

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.5

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Away

Spain

Spain

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.2

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Czechia vs Spain?

Spain is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Czechia's current form?

Czechia have recorded 0W 1D 4L in their last 5 matches (0.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Czechia Win19%
Draw20%
Spain Win61%
BTTS62%
Over 2.566%