Denmarkvs
Portugal
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Denmark xG
Expected goals
1.7
Portugal xG
63%
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
9%
2–1
8%
0–1
7%
2–2
7%
0–2
6%
Home
Denmark
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.7
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Portugal
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Denmark vs Portugal?
Portugal is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Denmark's current form?
Denmark have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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