Match Analysis

DenmarkvsPortugal

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
23%
43%
Denmark winDrawPortugal win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.40
1.73Avg goals scored2.29
1.72Avg goals conceded1.03
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)4–0–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Denmark xG

Expected goals

1.7

Portugal xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

2–2

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Denmark

Denmark

WLWLW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.7

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Portugal

Portugal

WWWWL

PPG

2.40

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 0D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Denmark vs Portugal?

Portugal is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Denmark's current form?

Denmark have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Denmark Win34%
Draw23%
Portugal Win43%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%