Match Analysis

EnglandvsCzechia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

77%
14%
9%
England winDrawCzechia win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.20
3.56Avg goals scored0.49
0.69Avg goals conceded2.53
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.8

England xG

Expected goals

0.9

Czechia xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

10%

2–1

9%

3–0

9%

3–1

8%

1–0

7%

1–1

6%

Home

England

England

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

3.6 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Czechia

Czechia

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.5

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win England vs Czechia?

England is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is England's current form?

England have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

England Win77%
Draw14%
Czechia Win9%
BTTS56%
Over 2.571%