Estoniavs
Bulgaria
UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Estonia xG
Expected goals
0.8
Bulgaria xG
38%
Both Teams to Score
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
16%
0–0
14%
1–1
13%
0–1
11%
2–0
10%
2–1
8%
Home
Estonia
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.5 / 0.2
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Bulgaria
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
0.8 / 1.2
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Estonia vs Bulgaria?
Estonia is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Estonia's current form?
Estonia have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (16% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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