Match Analysis

FinlandvsAlbania

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
25%
30%
Finland winDrawAlbania win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
2.12Avg goals scored1.98
0.53Avg goals conceded0.79
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Finland xG

Expected goals

1.2

Albania xG

54%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

10%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

2–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Finland

Finland

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Albania

Albania

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 0.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Finland vs Albania?

Finland is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Finland's current form?

Finland have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Finland Win45%
Draw25%
Albania Win30%
BTTS54%
Over 2.551%