Match Analysis

FinlandvsBelarus

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

45%
27%
28%
Finland winDrawBelarus win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.20
2.12Avg goals scored1.30
0.53Avg goals conceded0.46
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Finland xG

Expected goals

1

Belarus xG

48%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

9%

0–1

9%

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

Home

Finland

Finland

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Belarus

Belarus

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Finland vs Belarus?

Finland is favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Finland's current form?

Finland have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Finland Win45%
Draw27%
Belarus Win28%
BTTS48%
Over 2.543%