Match Analysis

FinlandvsSan Marino

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

78%
14%
8%
Finland winDrawSan Marino win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.20
2.12Avg goals scored0.27
0.53Avg goals conceded3.90
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)0–1–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.8

Finland xG

Expected goals

0.8

San Marino xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

70%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

11%

3–0

10%

2–1

9%

1–0

8%

3–1

8%

4–0

7%

Home

Finland

Finland

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.1 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

San Marino

San Marino

DLLLL

PPG

0.20

Avg goals

0.3 / 3.9

Last 5

0W 1D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Finland vs San Marino?

Finland is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Finland's current form?

Finland have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.8.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Finland Win78%
Draw14%
San Marino Win8%
BTTS52%
Over 2.570%