Match Analysis

FrancevsBelgium

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

50%
25%
25%
France winDrawBelgium win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.20
1.81Avg goals scored1.50
0.53Avg goals conceded1.33
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–0–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

France xG

Expected goals

1.1

Belgium xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

1–0

11%

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

France

France

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Belgium

Belgium

LWLWL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 0D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win France vs Belgium?

France is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is France's current form?

France have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

France Win50%
Draw25%
Belgium Win25%
BTTS53%
Over 2.551%