Match Analysis

FrancevsTürkiye

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

68%
19%
13%
France winDrawTürkiye win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.60
1.81Avg goals scored0.51
0.53Avg goals conceded2.78
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–0–4

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.2

France xG

Expected goals

0.9

Türkiye xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

11%

1–0

10%

2–1

10%

1–1

9%

3–0

8%

3–1

7%

Home

France

France

WDWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Türkiye

Türkiye

LLLLW

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

0.5 / 2.8

Last 5

1W 0D 4L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win France vs Türkiye?

France is favored with a 68% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is France's current form?

France have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

France Win68%
Draw19%
Türkiye Win13%
BTTS53%
Over 2.560%