Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Georgia xG
Expected goals
0.8
Ukraine xG
35%
Both Teams to Score
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–0
17%
1–0
17%
0–1
13%
1–1
13%
2–0
8%
2–1
7%
Home
Georgia
PPG
1.00
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Away
Ukraine
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Georgia vs Ukraine?
Georgia is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Georgia's current form?
Georgia have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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