Match Analysis

GeorgiavsUkraine

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
32%
29%
Georgia winDrawUkraine win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.80
0.00Avg goals scored0.50
0.49Avg goals conceded1.32
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Georgia xG

Expected goals

0.8

Ukraine xG

35%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

17%

1–0

17%

0–1

13%

1–1

13%

2–0

8%

2–1

7%

Home

Georgia

Georgia

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Ukraine

Ukraine

LLDWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Georgia vs Ukraine?

Georgia is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Georgia's current form?

Georgia have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 35%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Georgia Win39%
Draw32%
Ukraine Win29%
BTTS35%
Over 2.527%