Match Analysis

GermanyvsGreece

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

38%
30%
32%
Germany winDrawGreece win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
0.75Avg goals scored1.22
0.47Avg goals conceded0.75
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Germany xG

Expected goals

1

Greece xG

42%

Both Teams to Score

35%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–0

12%

0–1

12%

1–2

7%

2–0

7%

Home

Germany

Germany

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Greece

Greece

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Germany vs Greece?

Germany is favored with a 38% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Germany's current form?

Germany have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 35%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Germany Win38%
Draw30%
Greece Win32%
BTTS42%
Over 2.535%