Match Analysis

GermanyvsSerbia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

51%
26%
23%
Germany winDrawSerbia win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game0.00
0.75Avg goals scored0.74
0.47Avg goals conceded2.00
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)0–0–5

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Germany xG

Expected goals

0.9

Serbia xG

46%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

14%

1–1

12%

2–0

10%

0–0

9%

2–1

9%

0–1

8%

Home

Germany

Germany

DWLDL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 0.5

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Serbia

Serbia

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Germany vs Serbia?

Germany is favored with a 51% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Germany's current form?

Germany have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Germany Win51%
Draw26%
Serbia Win23%
BTTS46%
Over 2.543%