Match Analysis

GibraltarvsMalta

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

36%
29%
35%
Gibraltar winDrawMalta win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game2.60
0.52Avg goals scored1.30
0.52Avg goals conceded0.64
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Gibraltar xG

Expected goals

1.1

Malta xG

45%

Both Teams to Score

38%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

12%

1–0

12%

0–0

11%

0–2

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Gibraltar

Gibraltar

WDDDW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 0.5

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Malta

Malta

WDWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

1.3 / 0.6

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Gibraltar vs Malta?

Gibraltar is favored with a 36% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Gibraltar's current form?

Gibraltar have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 38%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 3 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Gibraltar Win36%
Draw29%
Malta Win35%
BTTS45%
Over 2.538%