Match Analysis

GreecevsSerbia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

54%
24%
22%
Greece winDrawSerbia win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.00
1.22Avg goals scored0.74
0.75Avg goals conceded2.00
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)0–0–5

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Greece xG

Expected goals

1

Serbia xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Greece

Greece

DDWWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Serbia

Serbia

LLLLL

PPG

0.00

Avg goals

0.7 / 2.0

Last 5

0W 0D 5L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Greece vs Serbia?

Greece is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Greece's current form?

Greece have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Greece Win54%
Draw24%
Serbia Win22%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%