Match Analysis

HungaryvsGeorgia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

43%
32%
25%
Hungary winDrawGeorgia win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.00
0.80Avg goals scored0.00
0.50Avg goals conceded0.49
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Hungary xG

Expected goals

0.7

Georgia xG

34%

Both Teams to Score

27%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

18%

0–0

17%

1–1

13%

0–1

12%

2–0

10%

2–1

7%

Home

Hungary

Hungary

WWDLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Georgia

Georgia

DLDLW

PPG

1.00

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Hungary vs Georgia?

Hungary is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Hungary's current form?

Hungary have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (18% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 27%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Hungary Win43%
Draw32%
Georgia Win25%
BTTS34%
Over 2.527%