Match Analysis

HungaryvsNorthern Ireland

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
32%
36%
Hungary winDrawNorthern Ireland win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.60
0.80Avg goals scored1.00
0.50Avg goals conceded0.00
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

0.9

Hungary xG

Expected goals

1

Northern Ireland xG

38%

Both Teams to Score

30%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–0

15%

0–1

15%

1–0

13%

1–1

13%

0–2

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Hungary

Hungary

WWDLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

0.8 / 0.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland

DWDWL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 0.0

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Hungary vs Northern Ireland?

Northern Ireland is favored with a 36% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Hungary's current form?

Hungary have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 38%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Hungary Win32%
Draw32%
Northern Ireland Win36%
BTTS38%
Over 2.530%