Match Analysis

KazakhstanvsMoldova

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

48%
24%
28%
Kazakhstan winDrawMoldova win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.20
1.27Avg goals scored0.75
1.77Avg goals conceded2.05
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Kazakhstan xG

Expected goals

1.2

Moldova xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

55%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

10%

1–0

9%

2–0

8%

0–1

7%

1–2

7%

Home

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Moldova

Moldova

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.8 / 2.0

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Kazakhstan vs Moldova?

Kazakhstan is favored with a 48% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Kazakhstan's current form?

Kazakhstan have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Kazakhstan Win48%
Draw24%
Moldova Win28%
BTTS57%
Over 2.555%