Match Analysis

LatviavsArmenia

UNL UEFA Nations League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
28%
37%
Latvia winDrawArmenia win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.00
0.53Avg goals scored0.94
1.52Avg goals conceded1.24
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Latvia xG

Expected goals

1.2

Armenia xG

49%

Both Teams to Score

43%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

11%

1–0

11%

0–0

9%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Latvia

Latvia

LLDLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Armenia

Armenia

DLLWD

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.9 / 1.2

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Latvia vs Armenia?

Armenia is favored with a 37% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Latvia's current form?

Latvia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Latvia Win35%
Draw28%
Armenia Win37%
BTTS49%
Over 2.543%