Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1
Latvia xG
Expected goals
1.3
Cyprus xG
46%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
13%
1–1
13%
0–0
10%
1–0
10%
0–2
8%
1–2
8%
Home
Latvia
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.5 / 1.5
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Cyprus
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.3 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Latvia vs Cyprus?
Cyprus is favored with a 44% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Latvia's current form?
Latvia have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 4 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from UEFA Nations League